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    S&P 500 tops 5,500 after ‘near perfect’ economic data

    Synopsis

    Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the core inflation figure rose by 0.1% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year. According to LSEG FedWatch data, the probability of a rate cut in September increased to 68% from 61% prior to the release of the data. Despite the Federal Reserve's projections of only one rate cut this year, traders are maintaining their bets on two cuts, hoping for a continued decline in inflation and considering the economy's vulnerability to historically high interest rates.

    S&P, Nasdaq open marginally higherAP
    U.S. stocks rose broadly on Friday after an in-line inflation report strengthened hopes for interest rate cuts in September, though Nike shares slumped after a dismal annual sales forecast.

    The Commerce Department's data showed personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - was unchanged on a monthly basis in May and rose 2.6% annually, all along expectations.

    Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the core figure increased 0.1% month-on-month and 2.6% annually. Chances of a rate cut in September inched up to 68% from 61% before the data, as per LSEG FedWatch data.

    "This is a perfect report - it gives the Fed the green light to cut in September, and sets the stage for the dovish rhetoric to continue," said Jay Woods, chief global strategist at Freedom Capital Markets.

    Traders held their bets of two cuts despite Fed projections of just one this year, hoping for a sustained downtrend in inflation and as the economy remains susceptible to decades-high interest rate.

    Megacaps including Apple, Nvidia, and Amazon.com rose between 0.2% and 1.2%.

    Most of the S&P 500 subsectors were higher, led by tech stocks. The small-cap Russell 2000 rose 0.8% to an over two week-high.

    However, Nike slumped 17.1% after forecasting a surprise drop in fiscal 2025 revenue, weighing on the broader consumer discretionary sector.

    At 9:43 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 133.28 points, or 0.34%, at 39,297.34, the S&P 500 hit 5,500 in an advance led by its most-influential group: technology. The Nasdaq 100 briefly surpassed the historic 20,000 mark and is on track for its best month since November.

    Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said he still wanted to proceed "deliberately" on policy and the Fed's Mary Daly said the latest data was "good news that policy is working."

    Comments from Fed official Michelle Bowman is also expected during the day.

    Investors also geared up for the final reconstitution of the Russell benchmark indexes during the day, with the furious rally in AI-related stocks expected to leave an outsized imprint on their final shape.

    Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were set for gains in a week marked by a short-lived rout in AI-related stocks, Amazon.com hitting $2 trillion market value for the first time, quarterly earnings from the likes of FedEx and Micron Technology, and a mixed bag of economic data.

    The two indexes were set for quarterly gains. However the blue-chip Dow was on pace to end the quarter down 1%, highlighting the divergence between the more tech-heavy indexes and the rest of the market.

    Trump Media & Technology Group gained 4% after a shaky performance from Democratic incumbent Joe Biden in the first presidential debate.

    Optical networking gear maker Infinera jumped 18.4% after Nokia said it would acquire the company in a $2.3 billion deal.

    Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 4.16-to-1 ratio on the NYSE. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 2.18-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

    The S&P index recorded 12 new 52-week highs and one new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 35 new highs and 38 new lows.



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    Subscribe to The Economic Times Prime and read the Economic Times ePaper Online.and Sensex Today.

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