2010 United States Senate election in Oregon

The 2010 United States Senate election in Oregon was held on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ron Wyden won re-election to a third full term by a landslide margin of 18 points, despite the national Republican midterm wave. As of 2022, this is the only senate election since 1998 in which Deschutes County has not supported the Democratic candidate (albeit by a plurality).

2010 United States Senate election in Oregon

← 2004 November 2, 2010 2016 →
 
Nominee Ron Wyden Jim Huffman
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 825,507 566,199
Percentage 57.22% 39.25%

County results
Wyden:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Huffman:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Ron Wyden
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ron Wyden
Democratic

Democratic primary

edit

Candidates

edit
  • Pavel Goberman, fitness instructor and mentalist, perennial candidate[1]
  • Loren Hooker, farmer[1]
  • Ron Wyden, incumbent U.S. Senator

Polling

edit
Poll source Dates administered Ron Wyden Loren Hooker Pavel Goberman Undecided
Survey USA[2] May 7–9, 2010 80% 9% 4% 8%

Results

edit
Oregon Democratic U.S. Senate primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ronald Wyden (Incumbent) 323,652 89.55%
Democratic Loren Hooker 25,152 6.75%
Democratic Pavel Goberman 9,985 2.68%
Democratic Write Ins 3,782 1.02%
Total votes 376,353 100.00%

Republican primary

edit

Candidates

edit

Polling

edit
Poll source Dates administered Jim Huffman Thomas Stutzman Keith Waldron Robin Parker Undecided
Survey USA[2] May 7–9, 2010 20% 11% 9% 6% 43%

Results

edit
 
Results by county
Huffman
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Dinkel
  •   20–30%
Oregon Republican U.S. Senate primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Huffman 110,450 41.70
Republican Loren Later 39,753 15.01
Republican G. Shane Dinkel 36,760 13.88
Republican Thomas Stutzman 31,859 12.03
Republican Keith Waldron 24,602 9.29
Republican Robin Parker 14,637 5.53
Republican Walter Woodland 4,417 1.67
Miscellaneous 2,363 0.89
Total votes 264,841 100

General election

edit

Candidates

edit

Campaign

edit

Wyden, a popular incumbent with a 52% approval rating in a July poll,[7] touted bipartisanship and promised to hold town-hall meetings annually in each of Oregon's 36 counties and to open offices outside of Portland and Salem.[8] A Survey USA poll taken a few days before the election showed that 23% of Republicans supported Wyden.[9]

Huffman, widely considered as an underdog, financed his own campaign. He defended bonuses for Wall Street executives and questioned global warming.[10]

Debates

edit

The first debate took place on October 21, 2010, in Medford, Oregon and was broadcast by KOBI-TV. Only the two major-party candidates, Huffman and Wyden, participated in the debate.[11] The second debate, which was hosted by the City Club of Portland at the Governor Hotel, took place on October 22. The debate played live on KOIN and re-aired on Oregon Public Broadcasting later that night.[12]

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[13] Solid D October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Safe D October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[15] Likely D October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe D October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Safe D October 26, 2010

Polling

edit
Poll source Dates administered Jim Huffman (R) Ron Wyden (D)
Rasmussen Reports[18] February 16, 2010 35% 49%
Rasmussen Reports[19] May 24, 2010 38% 51%
Survey USA[20] June 7–9, 2010 38% 51%
Rasmussen Reports[21] June 17, 2010 37% 47%
Davis, Hibbits and Midghall[22] June 21, 2010 32% 50%
Rasmussen Reports[23] July 26, 2010 35% 51%
Survey USA[24] July 25–27, 2010 35% 53%
Rasmussen Reports[25] August 22, 2010 36% 56%
Rasmussen Reports[26] September 8, 2010 35% 53%
Survey USA[27] September 12–14, 2010 38% 54%
Rasmussen Reports[28] October 10, 2010 36% 52%
Survey USA[29] October 12–14, 2010 34% 56%
Public Policy Polling[30] October 17, 2010 40% 56%
Rasmussen Reports[28] October 25, 2010 42% 53%
Survey USA[31] October 23–28, 2010 32% 57%

Fundraising

edit
Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Ron Wyden (D) $5,529,660 $4,820,297 $1,827,374 $0
James Huffman (R) $2,227,784 $1,576,662 $651,118 $1,350,000
Marc Delphine (L) $4,728 $4,805 $221 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[32]

Results

edit
General election results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ronald Wyden (Incumbent) 825,507 57.22%
Republican Jim Huffman 566,199 39.25%
Working Families Bruce Cronk 18,940 1.31%
Libertarian Marc Delphine 16,028 1.11%
Progressive Rick Staggenborg 14,466 1.00%
Write-In 1,448 0.10%
Total votes 1,442,588 100.0%
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

edit

References

edit
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h "Candidate Filings, United States Senate election". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved February 12, 2010.
  2. ^ a b Survey USA
  3. ^ a b "Official Results May 2010 Primary Election". sos.oregon.gov. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  4. ^ Mapes, Jeff (March 4, 2010). "Lewis & Clark law professor Jim Huffman announces run against Oregon Sen. Ron Wyden". The Oregonian. Retrieved March 5, 2010.
  5. ^ a b c d e "Candidate Filings, Governor (2010 General Election)". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved September 13, 2010.
  6. ^ "Etsy - Your place to buy and sell all things handmade, vintage, and supplies". Archived from the original on July 14, 2011. Retrieved November 3, 2010.
  7. ^ "SurveyUSA News Poll #16824".
  8. ^ http://www.statesmanjournal.com/article/20101028/NEWS/10280337/1001/news#ixzz14WlSG8xm [permanent dead link]
  9. ^ "SurveyUSA Election Poll #17610".
  10. ^ Duara, Nigel (November 3, 2010). "Ore. Democrat holds Senate seat against professor". The Washington Post.
  11. ^ "Wyden, challenger debate tonight". The Mail Tribune. Southern Oregon Media Group. October 21, 2010. Retrieved October 21, 2010.
  12. ^ Graves, Bill (October 8, 2010). "Challenger Jim Huffman champions limited government in quest to unseat Ron Wyden". The Oregonian. Oregon Live LLC. Retrieved October 21, 2010.
  13. ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  14. ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  15. ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  16. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  17. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  18. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  19. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  20. ^ Survey USA
  21. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  22. ^ Davis, Hibbits and Midghall
  23. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  24. ^ Survey USA
  25. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  26. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  27. ^ Survey USA
  28. ^ a b Rasmussen Reports
  29. ^ Survey USA
  30. ^ Public Policy Polling
  31. ^ Survey USA
  32. ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Oregon". fec.gov. Retrieved July 25, 2010. [permanent dead link]
  33. ^ "November 2, 2010, General Election Abstracts of Votes". Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2010.
edit

Official campaign websites