ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Maharashtra's economic survey 2023-24: Shinde government spurs robust growth and recovery
The economic survey of Maharashtra for 2023-24 revealed a positive economic outlook under the Shinde government compared to the previous Maha Vikas Aghadi administration. The survey showcased growth in GSDP, FDI, and entrepreneurship. Maharashtra's GSDP growth outpaces Gujarat, FDI attraction has surged, and entrepreneurship is thriving with the highest number of startups in India. The survey also highlighted progress in social welfare, agriculture, financial assistance to farmers, infrastructure development, and increased allocation for women's education.
China's June factory activity contracts again, services slows
China's economic indicators for June painted a challenging picture, with manufacturing activity stagnating and services slipping to a five-month low, according to an official survey released on Sunday. The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) remained unchanged at 49.5, below the growth threshold of 50, indicating ongoing economic struggles despite some positive signals in industrial production. Analysts noted that while exports have been a strong driver, both domestic and external demand remain insufficient to fully utilize China's manufacturing capacity, prompting calls for additional policy support to stimulate growth.
Has the global economic environment turned favourable for equities?
Global economy's resilience amidst crises led to surprising growth stability and inflation control. Potential trade war threats loom, while equity markets soar to record highs, indicating positive economic outlook.
Maharashtra's economy expected to grow by 7.6 per cent in FY24: Economic Survey
Maharashtra’s economy is projected to grow by 7.6% in 2023-24, mirroring India's expected growth rate. The state’s agriculture sector, impacted by adverse conditions, is set to increase by 1.9%, while the industry and services sectors are forecasted to expand by 7.6% and 8.8%, respectively.
It's time for GoI to expose biased global rankings & create honest indices in India
India's falling rankings in global indices, such as the Global Gender Gap index and Corruption Perceptions Index, raise concerns despite its rapid progress in digitalisation. The country's low rankings in various global indices, including the UN's e-Government Development Index and International Telecommunication Union's ICT Development Index, highlight a disconnect between its economic growth and global recognition.
India's world-beating growth pace to continue, says RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das
"In the first three quarters of 2023-24, the current account deficit was 1.2% (of GDP)," Das said. "Our teams are working on the fourth quarter numbers. They look to be even lower, and when you look at the annual current account deficit number, I will not be surprised next week when we publish the current account deficit numbers - they could be even lower than 1% (of GDP)," he said at the ET Now event.
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Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock action on Tuesday
Indian benchmark equity indices, Sensex and Nifty50, logged record closing highs for a second straight session on Friday, driven by state-run companies and energy stocks on hopes of continued capital expenditure spending by the new government.
Learn with ETMarkets: How inflation impacts INR & what currency traders should do?
The Indian Rupee (INR) is influenced by global economic trends, inflation, recession fears, and geopolitical tensions. Traders should monitor inflation, anticipate capital flows, and use hedging strategies in the forex market.
D-Street Week Ahead: More pullback can be expected, says expert
Vaishnav analysis highlights Nifty's volatile week, concerns about market breadth and resistance levels, bearish signals in the MACD, and defensive setups in sectors like FMCG and Pharma.
Budget to indicate policy priorities of coalition govt, says Moody's
Moody's Analytics highlighted that the upcoming Union Budget will set policy priorities for the coalition government, shaping the next five years' growth trajectory.
Upward GDP projection and no change in interest rates welcomed by industry and economists
Industry leaders and economists widely accepted RBI's monetary policy stand of no change in interest rates. Besides upward projection of GDP growth for FY25 from 7 per cent to 7.2 per cent is welcomed by the Industry.
RBI MPC meeting: India’s FY25 GDP forecast raised to 7.2% from 7%
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised the FY25 real GDP growth forecast to 7.2% from 7% due to improved rural and urban demand, bolstered by monsoon predictions. The Monetary Policy Committee kept the benchmark rate at 6.25%, noting domestic economic resilience. India's FY24 GDP growth accelerated to 8.2%, driven by a sharp decline in the GDP deflator.
Stock Radar: Nearly 20% fall from highs! Bata India showing signs of a rebound
Bata India has experienced a 20% decline from its recent high in August 2023. However, experts are now seeing signs of improvement in the stock. Short-term traders are advised to consider buying the stock with a target price of Rs 1,520 over the next 3-4 weeks.
F&O Radar | Deploy Debit Spread in Wipro to capture potential up-move
Since April 2024, Wipro's prices have been fluctuating within a wide range of 435 and 468 levels, while also remaining close to its short-term moving averages.On Monday, the share price managed to maintain its position and close above its 10-day exponential moving average, reaching Rs 461, which is in proximity to its broader resistance level at 468.
Demand under rural jobs scheme eases again in May
Demand for work under India's rural job guarantee scheme, MGNREGS, dropped for a seventh consecutive month in May, signaling improved economic conditions at the start of the fiscal year. About 37.46 million individuals sought work, down 12.1% from the previous year, with 27.18 million households seeking work, a 14.3% drop. The trend is attributed to better-paying job opportunities and the impact of heat waves across the country, although the data is subject to revision.
India’s GDP growth under Modi govt fetched it global fame, but why did it leave the desi electorate unimpressed?
Despite an 8.2% economic growth in 2023-24, India’s incumbent government didn't gain the expected electoral advantage due to a jobs crisis. While GDP rebounded swiftly post-Covid, formal job growth lagged. A rise in self-employment highlights insufficient job opportunities, reflecting the weak link between GDP growth and quality employment. In poorer regions like eastern UP, north Karnataka, and east Maharashtra, stagnant incomes and inflation further worsened living standards.
Modi govt's fiscal consolidation pace post-Covid worse than peers? Moody's report flags weaker fiscal, debt metrics
Moody's rating agency has pointed out that India's fiscal consolidation following the Covid-19 pandemic has lagged behind when compared to its peers. This includes several emerging markets in the Asia-Pacific region.
View: Whichever way you cut it, the economy’s booming and is a welcome gift for the incoming government
The Indian economy is booming with a GDP growth of 8.2% for 2023-24, surpassing estimates. The National Statistics Office data highlights this growth despite challenges in sectors like manufacturing and agriculture.
Economists project continued economic momentum and stability after India reports robust GDP growth in Q4
India's economy experienced a 7.8% growth rate in the January-March quarter, surpassing expectations due to strong performance in the manufacturing sector. The GDP growth in the fourth quarter of FY24 was slightly lower than the revised 8.6% growth in the previous quarter. Economists are optimistic about sustained momentum throughout the year, with the gap between GDP and gross value added (GVA) expected to normalize from the second quarter of FY25.
Growth momentum to continue in Modi 3.0: FM Sitharaman
India's Finance Minister, Nirmala Sitharaman, has praised the country's 8.2% GDP growth in 2023-24, stating that the growth momentum will continue in the third term of the Modi government. The manufacturing sector saw a 9.9% growth, indicating the country's resilience despite global challenges. The final phase of Lok Sabha elections is set for Saturday, with results expected on June 4.
Moody's projects 6.8 per cent GDP expansion in 2024 on strong growth, post-election policy continuity
Moody's Ratings projected India's growth at 6.8% in 2024, followed by 6.5% in 2025. The prediction was driven by economic expansion and post-election policy continuity. The real GDP grew by 7.7% in 2023, with strong government spending and manufacturing activity. High-frequency indicators suggest sustained momentum in the economy. Moody's expects 6-7% annual GDP growth with policy continuity and increased capital expenditure. Private investment outlook is positive, despite inflation volatility.
India's growth set to get more broad-based, says Morgan Stanley; pegs 6.8% for 2024
India's strong growth, driven by consumer and business spending, is expected to become more broad-based, according to Morgan Stanley. The global investment bank forecasts 6.8% growth in 2024, attributing it to global offshoring, digitalization, and energy transition. Retail inflation is at 4.83%, within RBI's comfort zone. S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on India to positive, citing robust economic growth and fiscal policies.
IMF upgrades China's 2024, 2025 GDP growth forecasts but warns of risks ahead
"China's economic growth is projected to remain resilient at five percent in 2024 and slow to 4.5 percent in 2025," the IMF said in a press release, adding the decision was "driven by strong first-quarter GDP data and recent policy measures".
Stock market rally predictions after Lok Sabha election results create frenzy but investors must remember this key point
True optimism should extend beyond immediate gains. A sustainable investment journey requires diligent planning, thoughtful strategy, portfolio diversification, and patience amidst market fluctuations. By embracing these principles, investors not only mitigate risks, but also position themselves for longterm growth through compounding returns.
India seen to emerge as an economic superpower in impending problem-ridden global financial landscape
Global recession risks have diminished, but inflation concerns threaten financial stability. The IMF, World Bank, and rating agencies forecast a slowdown in global growth, citing Middle East conflicts, financial stress, persistent inflation, and reduced international trade as key risks. The IMF's Global Debt Monitor reveals global debt at $235 trillion, or 238% of global GDP, raising fears of a debt crisis. Fiscal prudence may suffer as many nations face elections this year.
Growth momentum likely to stay in Q1FY25: FinMin
The finance ministry's April report predicts strong economic activity in FY25, with rising industrial activity and fixed investments. Positive macro-economic indicators include a bright manufacturing outlook and improved services sector, supported by increased capacity utilization and EPFO data.
Dollar set for weekly gain as rate cut bets ebb
The dollar is on track for its largest weekly gain in a month and a half, supported by strong U.S. economic data and a hawkish stance in Federal Reserve minutes.
Govt looks to change base year for major economic gauges to FY23, revamp of key datasets also being planned
The base year provides a reference point for measuring changes in economic variables and comparing relative performances of indicators over time. For instance, real gross domestic product (GDP) growth is currently calculated with reference to FY12 prices.
Indian economy on upward trajectory: NCAER's cites favorable above-normal monsoon forecast
The NCAER's April 2024 Monthly Economic Review (MER) highlights the Indian economy's robust performance, citing a 16-year high in the PMI for manufacturing and record UPI transactions. With positive global forecasts and decreasing inflation, the economy looks poised for growth, though online hiring activity shows a slight moderation.
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