ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN
Commercial vehicle sales surpass expectations, indicating strong economic activity
Sales of commercial vehicles increased last quarter, driven by strong replacement demand and continued government infrastructure spending. More than 234,000 trucks and buses were sold in the local market in the three months ended June, exceeding expectations. This marks a 4.5% rise compared to the 224,000 vehicles sold in the same period last year.
Asian stocks advance as S&P 500 closes above 5,500: Markets wrap
Market euphoria as S&P 500 hits records, Calvasina bullish. Job openings up, Fed's easing stance challenged. Eyes on US payrolls data for June update.
US inflation cools in May, boosting hopes of Fed rate cut
May's stable inflation, influenced by service costs and goods prices, sets the stage for potential Federal Reserve interest rate changes. The report highlights slight consumer spending growth and hints at the Fed's aim for a controlled economic slowdown through core inflation moderation.
Wall Street closes subdued as investors sit, wait for inflation data
Tech stocks like Amazon surged as market volatility persisted. Atlanta Fed President hinted at rate cuts amidst narrowing inflation. Micron's revenue forecast met mixed reactions, reflecting ongoing market uncertainty.
US economic growth for last quarter is revised up slightly to a 1.4% annual rate
The US economy expanded at a 1.4% annual pace from January to March, the slowest quarterly growth since spring 2022, according to the government. Consumer spending grew only 1.5%, indicating high interest rates may be impacting the economy. The Commerce Department estimated a 1.3% GDP growth in the first quarter.
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Oil prices ease on strong US dollar, mixed global economic news
WTI fell out of overbought territory as Fed's interest rate hikes to curb inflation impacted oil demand. The decline in crude prices was influenced by rising U.S. dollar and negative global economic news. U.S. business activity rose to a 26-month high in June with an employment rebound. Geopolitical tensions escalated with warnings of a trade war over electric vehicle imports.
Inflation, Fed meeting to give clues for US market direction
Investors await next week's inflation data and Fed meeting for signals on stock market trajectory amid conflicting economic signals. S&P 500's 12% YTD rise hinges on Fed's ability to manage inflation without hampering growth.
Modi premium for Indian stocks gets a hard look after elections
With the leader now navigating coalition politics after a weaker-than-expected mandate in this week’s national election, the so-called Modi premium is under scrutiny. Investors are looking for proof that Modi can continue his reforms with the same vigor, while balancing the demands of alliance partners and avoiding populist measures to regain public support.
Wall St Week Ahead-Inflation, Fed meeting to give clues for US market direction
Political uncertainty may impact market stability. Early presidential debate raises concerns about 2024 election influence. Market attention shifts from economic data to political landscape.
After a 5% rally in 2 days, ITC earns a downgrade. Here's why
Emkay Global downgraded ITC to 'add' at Rs 460 citing near-term pressures like margin stress. Analysts' recommendations from Trendlyne data show 31 buy, 2 hold, and 1 sell. ITC shares yielded negative returns recently.
Reality behind the 8.2% FY24 GDP growth is not as robust
The 8.2% FY24 GDP growth reflects a modest deceleration from 3QFY24 at 8.6%. Real gross value added growth slowed considerably in 4QFY24 to 6.3% from 8.3% in 1QFY24.
Haryana Exit Polls 2024 Live Updates: BJP to dominate Haryana with 6-8 seats, predicts multiple exit polls
Haryana2024 Exit Polls Live Updates: The state of Haryana, ranking 18th in India's Lok Sabha seat allocation, has ten seats. Out of these, nearly eight are unreserved, and two are reserved for SC candidates. The BJP had won all ten seats, building on their success from 2014 when they secured seven seats.
Wall St Week Ahead-Struggling Dow transport stocks could be economic warning signal
The Dow Jones Transportation Average has fallen 5% this year, contrasting with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. Chuck Carlson sees it as a barometer for economic activity, signaling a possible slowdown ahead.
Dow slides 1% as bond market pressure eases after cooler economic data
The S&P 500 traded 0.2% lower and the Nasdaq composite dropped 0.3%. Yields fell on Thursday after a couple of reports showed the U.S. economy isn’t quite as strong as expected. The hope on Wall Street is that the economy can cool down, but not too much so that the Federal Reserve can hit a precise landing where it gets high inflation under control without causing a bad recession.
Election outcomes won't disrupt India's economic stability: Saurabh Mukherjea
There will probably be governance continuity as well, but almost certainly there will be policy continuity and hence, my point of view to the foreign investors is, beyond a point, you should not overemphasise the elections.
IMF revises China's GDP to 5% this year; growth may decelerate to 3.3 per cent by 2029, says Gita Gopinath
The 5 per cent growth revision by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is in line with the target set by the Chinese government for the world's second-largest economy which is grappling with a slowdown triggered by the crippling property sector crisis and industrial overcapacity.
RBI MPC meeting next week: What investors should expect
The RBI's upcoming MPC meeting on June 7, 2024, is expected to maintain interest rates amidst a stable inflation scenario post Lok Sabha election results. The focus will be on global and domestic factors impacting the economy.
Asian markets fall after US data dent rate cut hopes
Asian markets fell on Friday following Wall Street's sell-off triggered by strong US data, raising concerns about the Federal Reserve delaying interest rate cuts.
Defensive stocks: FMCG is “passe”; 8 stocks from two sectors may be called “new defensives” with upside potential of up to 32%
1994 to 2024 is a difference of 30 years, but there is one thing which has remained constant, advice to move to defensive stocks when markets are volatile or there is an event risk. Four questions need to be asked; first, what is a defensive stock? Second, is a stock which was considered a defensive in 1994 when the Indian economy was just opening, still a defensive stock in 2024 ? Third, should there be a new definition of defensive stock in 2024 ? Last but not the least, what are the new defensive sectors or stocks?
Gold rallies on rate cut expectations amid US economy slowdown
Spot gold rose on Friday despite US inflation data, anticipating rate cuts amid a weakening US economy. US CPI and PPI Final demand were below forecasts. US Fed Chair Powell remains optimistic about inflation. US Philadelphia Fed business outlook was below expectations. Fed officials hold varying views on rate adjustments.
Wall Street Week Ahead: Stock market's record-setting rebound may have further to go
Fresh signs of a cooling economy calmed inflation worries in May, helping all three major U.S. stock indexes rise to records this week. The benchmark S&P 500, which fell over 4% in April, is now up 11% year-to-date.
BoE leaves key rate unchanged at 5.25%; moves closer to first rate cut since 2020
The BoE said on Thursday its Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-2 to keep rates at a 16-year high of 5.25% after Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden joined Swati Dhingra in voting for a cut to 5%. The MPC has now kept rates on hold at six meetings in a row but it hinted that a first cut since March 2020 at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic could come as soon as its next meeting in June, a potential boost for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak.
Indian students fail to land internships in US amid hire-local push
Indian students in the US, including those from Ivy League universities, face internship challenges amid job slowdown. Competition intensifies with scarcity of entry-level job opportunities, impacting job market competitiveness.
Top IT companies cut over 72,000 jobs in FY24
The top six information technology services companies in India reported a reduction in their total headcount in the last fiscal year, with only HCLTech adding employees. Factors contributing to this reduction include the economic slowdown, automation, restructuring, and decreased discretionary spending. The drop in headcount reflects the aftermath of excessive hiring during the Covid boom and ongoing industry contraction in demand. However, experts believe that this trend may have bottomed out, and companies could resume hiring, given the strong deal wins announced by most of them, which could push a gradual pickup in growth.
Reserve Bank of India leads surge in gold reserves amid global central bank slowdown
Despite a slower pace in February, central banks like India's RBI are dedicated to strengthening gold reserves as a hedge against economic uncertainties, with an eye on diversifying forex reserves.
Positive economic outlook prevails for India's mid-market businesses despite global slowdown
India's mid-market businesses are expected to experience positive prospects in the coming year, according to a report by Grant Thornton. The International Business Report (IBR) revealed that nearly 80% of Indian mid-market businesses maintain a positive economic outlook, up from 78% in H1 2023. The growth is driven by India's domestic market and government initiatives like 'Make in India'.
EPS downgrades exceed upgrades in 3 months
A Bloomberg earnings upgrade or downgrade is the consensus estimate by equity analysts tracking the stock, indicating expectations of higher or lower profits, respectively.
Tractor sales in India hit a rough patch, reflecting rural economic slowdown
Tractor sales in India, a key indicator of rural economic health, have dropped by 4% in the first nine months of the fiscal year. States like Maharashtra, Karnataka, and Telangana experienced significant declines, attributed to erratic weather conditions and lower agricultural output. However, Uttar Pradesh saw a 6% increase in tractor sales, but it couldn't offset the declines in other states.
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