POLICY CONTINUITY
8% GDP growth not sustainable yet; bond index inclusion may see short-term volatility: Abheek Barua
After the inclusion in the JP Morgan global bond index, in the short term. we need to prepare for volatility. But in the long term, the collateral and the second-round benefits are huge, says Abheek Barua. He expects this to lead to an improvement in the fixed-income ecosystem, which unfortunately has not taken off that well
Fiscal discipline key to India's growth prospects: Sanjay Nayar
So, we will have to also think about how we channel the energies towards more advanced and more modern techniques and technology, because that is what we need right now.
Budget 2024: Tata Motors expects policy continuity in electric mobility
Tata Motors expects policy continuity in the upcoming Union Budget and calls for more players in the charging infrastructure space for faster adoption of electric mobility in India. The new NDA government is expected to present the Union Budget next month, with GST and PLI schemes already in place.
In 10 years, India no longer a charity case, it's the driving force of world economy: Sanjeev Sanyal
There are no such things as poor people. They are poor places. Say two brothers grew up in Moradabad. One of them stays back in Moradabad and another went off to Dubai. After five years, one person will be earning a lot more than the other. Why does this happen? It is because places matter, says Sanjeev Sanyal
FPIs infuse Rs 12,170 crore in equities in Jun on hopes of policy reform continuation, eco growth
Staging a strong comeback after general election results, foreign investors pumped Rs 12,170 crore in Indian equities so far in June, mainly driven by expectations of continued policy reforms and sustained economic growth.
GIFT Nifty signals a muted start for D-Street. Here's the trading setup for today's session
On Thursday, the stock markets ended with slight gains after trading positively throughout the day, supported by robust Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) activity and favorable macroeconomic conditions.
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Manufacturing sector looks for policy continuity, fresh PLIs
Narendra Modi-led NDA govt's third term brings hopes for manufacturing sector with policy continuity, new PLI schemes, and TDP's Chandrababu Naidu joining alliance for reform and innovation.
Nirmala Sitharaman returns as Finance Minister with analysts' votes in favour of Modi's faith in her
Modi's new cabinet: Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's decision to reappoint Nirmala Sitharaman as the country's finance minister signals policy continuity, reassuring market analysts. With a focus on infrastructure and fiscal discipline, Sitharaman faces the challenge of managing fiscal demands in a coalition government. Analysts predict a continued emphasis on infrastructure spending and adherence to fiscal conservatism.
See policy continuity even with coalition government: Gokul Laroia, CEO, Morgan Stanley Asia
Morgan Stanley's Asia CEO Gokul Laroia discussed Indian elections, markets, and risks with Nishanth Vasudevan before an investor conference.
How will Sensex perform 1 month after election results? Here’s what past suggests
Equity markets react negatively to Lok Sabha election results, but bounce back post 5 days and 1 month. Past data shows Sensex stabilizing and gaining after elections, with small and midcaps outperforming large caps. Benchmark returns stabilize post general elections regardless of counting day performance. JM Financial notes positive market returns on sectoral basis 6 months post results.
India Inc cheers continuity at the Centre, but rues fragility
Indian industry leaders express confidence in the economy's resilience despite the NDA-BJP government's unexpected outcome without an absolute majority. They anticipate policy continuity but caution about potential hurdles due to a stronger opposition and diverse political ideologies. The focus may shift to consumption, welfare schemes, and rural sectors. Stability is crucial for reforms, but the BJP's shortfall could complicate passing contentious reforms. However, the economy's growth agenda is expected to continue, with an emphasis on inclusivity and job creation.
Expect broad policy continuity with focus on capex: Ratings agencies
Economists emphasize the new Indian government's need to focus on growth, job creation, fiscal stability, tax reforms, and risk management. Reforms in land, labor, and capital markets are crucial, along with fiscal consolidation and increased government spending to attract private investments. They suggest balancing pro-consumer policies in agriculture and tackling judicial delays. These efforts aim to sustainably boost job creation and income levels, with the potential to raise India's economic growth to 7.5-8% over the medium-to-long term.
Modi’s election setback only a blip for some global stock funds
“The first thing I did was message my portfolio managers who invest in India to say if Nifty banks are down because of a lower-than-expected mandate for Modi, it’s a buying opportunity,” Sai said in an interview on Tuesday.
Railways stocks tank up to 33% in 2 days following narrow BJP-led NDA's election win
In today's trade, railway stocks fell by up to 17%. Titagarh Rail shares tumbled 33%, while Ircon declined by over 26%. Meanwhile, RailTel and IRCTC also fell by over 19% in the past two sessions. Shares of RITES, IRFC, RVNL, Texmaco Rail Systems, and Jupiter Wagons saw declines of between 18-23%.
Should market worry about whether policy continuity is here to stay or not? Swaminathan Aiyar explains
And I would say managing the coalition again becomes much easier if you stick to continuity. If you want to have sudden changes of policy, various people can have objections because any sudden change of policy creates losers and politicians hate to have the losers, even if there are going to be winners later on.
Startups seek support, policy continuity from new govt
As of 6.30 pm, data from Election Commission showed the incumbent BJP leading with 241 seats, opposition Congress with 98 seats -- leaving both parties short of the 272 Lok Sabha seats needed to form a government and increasing the chances of a coalition.
Banks should still do quite well in long term: Prashant Jain
I think the markets have moved beyond that phase where they used to differentiate between PSUs and private. So, I think businesses are now getting discounted or they are trading as per the underlying fundamentals which I think is very good. So, I think while we still talk in terms of PSUs, non-PSUs, but markets are not differentiating between public and private enterprises anymore.
Election results and stock markets: If history can predict the future
India awaits the Lok Sabha election results with anticipation, largely expecting a win for the Modi-led NDA alliance. Analysts foresee policy continuity and market stability if expectations materialize, but unexpected outcomes could trigger short-term market volatility. Regardless, experts suggest viewing any market dips as buying opportunities.
Bonds, rupee stage strong rebound on poll outlook
Government bond yields closed at their lowest in over two years, and the rupee saw its largest single-day gain since December, driven by exit polls predicting a strong NDA victory in the general elections.
Result day today, keep your shirt on
Stockbrokers advise clients to keep extra margins for trading on election results day amidst rising volatility index, exceeding exchange limits, and cautioning investors to heed advice. Markets react to GDP data and upcoming central bank review. Incoming government's monetary and fiscal policies will impact market. Budget and policy continuity influence systematic investment.
Indian bond yields seen lower as exit polls predict government continuity
Indian government bond yields are expected to open lower on Monday after positive exit polls hint at PM Modi's re-election. The 10-year yield may range between 6.94%-7.00%. Expectations of policy continuity and fiscal consolidation are driving investor sentiment.
Exit Polls: Top D-Street voices echo continuation of policy reform in Modi 3.0
Exit polls indicate a clear advantage for the BJP-led NDA faction. Experts foresee a continuation of reform policies in PM Modi's third term.
Anxious about 4th June poll results? Hedge your fears & leverage your optimism, doing it is not rocket science
Till a few weeks back, expectation of the street was very clear that policy continuity post 4th June. But then there was a bout of selling from foreign portfolio investors (FPI) and a narrative got created that they are selling due to polls. First logical question to counter this narrative would be to ask a counter question. Do they have some kind of insider information, the answer is surely no. Probably, just a few weeks back, after remaining in the dumps for years, the Chinese market came back into limelight, because of better than expected GDP numbers. So, there was a bit of movement of money. So, there is narrative and there is counter narrative. So rather than getting into a debate, there is a way to take care of both. The only thing is, a decision has to be made either today or Monday. Given the fact that there is a high level of noise on the street, more than anything else it is time to manage the risk of emotional decision making.
Election outcomes won't disrupt India's economic stability: Saurabh Mukherjea
There will probably be governance continuity as well, but almost certainly there will be policy continuity and hence, my point of view to the foreign investors is, beyond a point, you should not overemphasise the elections.
These midcap stocks with ‘strong buy’ & ‘buy’ recos can rally over 25%, according to analysts
After a strong phase upward movement, mid cap stocks are witnessing a sort of selective profit booking move. Profit booking which is mostly happening in line with Q4 numbers. A strong directional move is only likely to appear post election results. During this phase, analysts are bullish on select stocks from different sectors, a number of the stocks on which analysts are bullish are essentially leaders of their sector.ET screener powered by Refinitiv’s Stock Report Plus lists down quality stocks with high upside potential over the next 12 months, having an average recommendation rating of “buy” or "strong buy". This predefined screener is only available to ET Prime users.
Cement, infra are key sectors to look at because of prospect of policy continuity: Pankaj Pandey
Pankaj Pandey discusses the impact of the incumbent government's majority on the market, focusing on earnings, Budget expectations, and sector performance post-elections. Pandey further says once this monsoon gets over the focus will shift towards the overall infra spend side. Cement has not seen much of a price performance and key players like ACC, Ambuja, UltraTech or JK Cement are going to experience a slightly better growth rate than the industry.
These largecaps have ‘strong buy’ & ‘buy’ recos and upside potential of more than 20%
The way markets have panned out in the last few sessions, it appears that bulls are waiting for a confirmation on 4th of June and then they will take over control of the street. But because valuations are high, one has to be cautious, while being bullish. Also as a thumb rule, one should remember that corrections and consolidation are part of every bull market. We will continue to see them at regular levels. ET screener powered by Refinitiv’s Stock Report Plus lists down quality stocks with high upside potential over the next 12 months, having an average recommendation rating of “buy” or "strong buy". The screener applies different algorithms for all BSE and NSE stocks.
What investors expect from India's election outcome
India's six-week long national election, the world's largest, is nearing its conclusion with the final vote count on June 4. Investors are anticipating Prime Minister Narendra Modi's expected third term in office.
Restructuring impacts even the smallest player: 5 not so much talked about PSU banks
When it comes to PSU banks, all the limelight is taken by the top players, like SBI, BoB, PNB and one or two others. But the fact is that there are many other small PSU banks, which of course have smaller books and less of national presence, but the fact is that they have been also the beneficiary of the “ reconstruction and restructuring" (R&R) which both government and RBI have done in the banking sector in the last seven years. The good part of any R&R exercise in banking is that all the players whether it is small or large have to follow the rules and that ensures that the operating matrix improves across the sector and which leads to long term beneficial impact. We take a look at 5 small PSU banks, which are not normally in news, but over years they have also seen an improvement in their working. Yes, they have their own risks in terms of loan book and other business risk, but then because they are under owned in institutional space, a bit of institutional buying can lead to sharp re-rating.
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