POLITICAL STABILITY
Nepali Congress & CPN-UML strike deal to oust PM 'Prachanda'; to form new alliance
Nepali Congress President Sher Bahadur Deuba and Communist Party of Nepal-Unified Marxist Leninist (CPN-UML) chairman and former prime minister K P Sharma Oli reached an understanding on forming a new coalition on Monday midnight, according to former foreign minister Narayan Prakash Saud.
In 10 years, India no longer a charity case, it's the driving force of world economy: Sanjeev Sanyal
There are no such things as poor people. They are poor places. Say two brothers grew up in Moradabad. One of them stays back in Moradabad and another went off to Dubai. After five years, one person will be earning a lot more than the other. Why does this happen? It is because places matter, says Sanjeev Sanyal
Industrials strong, but be careful about valuations: Hiren Dasani of Goldman Sachs Asset Mgmt
"Emerging market equities, as an asset class, are not seeing inflows. They have seen outflows. The US is doing much better than the broader emerging market. The other dynamic is there is also a very strong AI (artificial intelligence)-driven theme that is driving the markets like Taiwan, which is a global supply chain for the entire AI-related and semiconductor segments"
Industry expects growth-oriented policies; doesn't see coalition as speedbreaker: Anish Shah
Mahindra Group CEO and MD Anish Shah expressed optimism about the continuation of growth-oriented policies in the third term of Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led government. He emphasized that coalition politics will not hinder progress. The industry expects the government to focus on manufacturing for the world, women-led development, farm-led prosperity, and sustainability.
See policy continuity even with coalition government: Gokul Laroia, CEO, Morgan Stanley Asia
Morgan Stanley's Asia CEO Gokul Laroia discussed Indian elections, markets, and risks with Nishanth Vasudevan before an investor conference.
Budget to indicate policy priorities of coalition govt, says Moody's
Moody's Analytics highlighted that the upcoming Union Budget will set policy priorities for the coalition government, shaping the next five years' growth trajectory.
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We don't expect rate cut in 2024 unless growth or inflation surprises on downside: Tanvee Gupta Jain
I think the political outcome was suggesting that there is kind of a weak sentiment at the lower end of the income pyramid. And whether we accept it or not but India has seen a K-shaped consumption recovery post the pandemic. So, most of the high frequency data that we track are clearly indicating that affluent, premium segment demand in India has been doing well.
Will RBI start cutting interest rates from October? Dr Samiran Chakraborty answers
In Citi's house view, we think that the Fed rate cut will start early, so we have put our first RBI rate cut in October, to some extent also factoring that in that if Fed moves earlier, then RBI gets the scope to move as well.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: There will be political stability; healthcare could turn out to be the dark horse in FY25: Aditya Khemka
Global investors haven't got much choice but to remain invested in India and perhaps increase allocations despite the political uncertainty.
A welfare reset can erode India's valuation premium
India's market valuation may decrease due to potential increase in government spending on social welfare schemes. Nifty 50 index trades at 19 times forward earnings, 20% above its long-term average, while S&P 500 and Taiwanese benchmark index are also highly valued.
Growth needs to be made more socially equitable and inclusive: Navneet Munot
We had GDP growth of 8%. Inflation well contained. If you look at external sector, whether you look at our current account, whether you look at our balance of payment, whether you look at foreign exchange reserves in a good shape. Relative to rest of the world which is dealing with so many challenges, I think India stands out.
India Inc cheers continuity at the Centre, but rues fragility
Indian industry leaders express confidence in the economy's resilience despite the NDA-BJP government's unexpected outcome without an absolute majority. They anticipate policy continuity but caution about potential hurdles due to a stronger opposition and diverse political ideologies. The focus may shift to consumption, welfare schemes, and rural sectors. Stability is crucial for reforms, but the BJP's shortfall could complicate passing contentious reforms. However, the economy's growth agenda is expected to continue, with an emphasis on inclusivity and job creation.
India’s premium valuation may come under pressure amid fractured election mandate
Nearly half of the Nifty 50 constituents currently trade at a premium to their historical averages. Among major global indices, the S&P 500 trades at a forward price-earnings (P/E) of 20.6, 29% higher than the long-term average
Nifty Bank rallies over 2,000 points to reclaim 49K; deploy buy-on-dips strategy: Experts
The Nifty Bank opened higher and built on gains throughout the trading session. It witnessed a mild profit taking near its intraday high but closed above 49,000. "The Bank Nifty index saw a sharp recovery from its 200-day moving average, closing above its rising trendline and 21-day EMA,” said Rupak De, Senior Technical Analyst, LKP Securities.
Past reforms will continue to drive economy over next 2 years: Neelkanth Mishra
In fact, with the RBI dividend being significantly better than what was budgeted, I would not be surprised if in the July budget, the government chooses to bring down its FY25 fiscal deficit target from 5.1% to 4.9% because that money is there.
Raamdeo Agrawal's advice to SIP investors amid market correction
Market loves myth, I mean myth of public sector company, myth of private sector company, I think that has to be broken down but markets works the way it works, I mean they love to put PSU as a separate category altogether and private sector as a separate category and that is how they pick stocks.
Electoral shock dashes hopes of rate cut
Food inflation challenges RBI, impacting rate cuts. Elections, populist spending, and fiscal landscape influence rate cut decisions.
Don't see any material changes in policies going ahead: Rajeev Thakkar
And if we step back what does the election outcome mean for the markets? So, barring the pre-election and post-election for a week, 10 days, people will move on.
Will NBFCs drive India's next growth wave? Manish Singh answers
What will this third term bring? Now I do not know any better than you from the announcements so far, but for me, I think that has to come through. If that does not come through, then high valuations will not be sustainable.
Nifty Bank climbs Mt 51K for first time; what should traders do?
The Nifty Bank broke key resistance levels ahead of the Lok Sabha election results, with experts advising caution for a buy-on-dips strategy.
Thematic focus on infra, renewables and real estate likely to continue: Harsh Gupta Madhusudan
Chinese valuations are roughly half of India's, but Chinese earnings growth is also significantly lower. The China trade is more tactical and opportunistic.
15 stock ideas from Motilal Oswal after mega BJP win prediction by exit polls
"Fundamentally, India is witnessing its own mini-Goldilocks moment with excellent macros, solid corporate earnings (Nifty ended FY24 with 25% earnings growth and FY25/26 earnings are likely to post 14-15% CAGR), focus on manufacturing, capex and infrastructure creation, and valuations at 20x one-year forward earnings," Motilal Oswal said.
FPIs take out Rs 25,586 cr from equities in May on poll jitters, attractive valuations in China
GDP growth numbers released on Friday painted a very optimistic picture. Q4FY24 GDP growth came in at 7.8 per cent surpassing the 6.7 per cent expectation, while the full-year FY24 growth stood at 8.2 per cent
FIIs follow 'sell in May and go away' mantra ahead of election results with Rs 25,600 crore sell-off
In May, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold Indian stocks worth Rs 25,600 crore, aligning with the 'Sell in May and go away' adage. Increased net shorts in index futures, outperformance of Chinese stocks, and concerns about high valuations contributed to the sell-off.
Very strong relations with India; co-producing armored vehicles: US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin at Shangri La Dialogue
At the Shangri La Dialogue in Singapore, US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin praised the strong US-India relationship. He talked about advancements in co-producing armoured vehicles and fighter jet engines. He emphasised the shared values between the two nations and predicted continued progress and momentum in the partnership. The strong ties are important for the two countries amid trouble in the Indo-Pacific region.
Election outcomes won't disrupt India's economic stability: Saurabh Mukherjea
There will probably be governance continuity as well, but almost certainly there will be policy continuity and hence, my point of view to the foreign investors is, beyond a point, you should not overemphasise the elections.
Xi Jinping exposes cracks in China's governance model
President Vladimir Putin emphasized Russia and China's commitment to a more democratic multipolar world order during his visit to China. Critics point to Xi Jinping's concentration of power, erosion of norms, and struggles in maintaining control over the PLA, raising concerns about China's governance model.
Need to be slightly circumspect of the rally in commodities: Ashish Gupta
Inflation has consistently been lower than historic trends. We have much more stable currency. We have a current account which is either in a minor deficit or a minor surplus.
Iran President Raisi dead: How it may impact the region including Israel, oil prices, gold, and stock markets
The death of Iranian President Raisi in a helicopter crash is poised to have significant repercussions, given Iran's longstanding conflicts and alliances in the Middle East. The incident comes amidst escalating tensions between Iran and Israel, raising concerns about regional stability and Iran's nuclear ambitions.
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