2020 United States Senate election in Iowa
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Ernst: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Greenfield: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Iowa |
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primaries were held on June 2.[1]
Most experts and pollsters considered this race and the concurrent presidential race as a tossup due to incumbent president Donald Trump's low approval ratings and Ernst's own popularity dropping in polls, partly due to a viral moment in a debate where she did not know the price of corn.[2] Despite this, Ernst was reelected by a larger-than-expected 6.6 points, while Trump simultaneously won the state with a similarly unexpected margin of victory. Ernst carried an overwhelming majority of the state's counties including many rural ones, while Greenfield carried only eight counties: Polk, Linn, Scott, Johnson, Black Hawk, Story, Cerro Gordo and Jefferson.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Joni Ernst, incumbent U.S. senator[4][5][6]
Withdrawn
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]- Organizations
Result
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Joni Ernst (incumbent) | 226,589 | 98.64% | |
Republican | Write-In | 3,132 | 1.36% | |
Total votes | 229,721 | 100.00% |
Democratic primary
[edit]On June 2, 2020, Theresa Greenfield won the Democratic primary with 47.71% of the vote, defeating three other major candidates, including Michael Franken, a retired U.S. Navy admiral and former aide to U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy.[11][12][13][14][15]
Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Theresa Greenfield, businesswoman, candidate for Iowa's 3rd congressional district in 2018[16]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Michael Franken, retired U.S. Navy admiral and former aide to U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy[17]
- Kimberly Graham, child welfare attorney[18][19]
- Eddie Mauro, businessman, teacher, candidate for Iowa's 3rd congressional district in 2018[20]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Cal Woods, journalist and U.S. Navy veteran[21][22][23] (endorsed Michael T. Franken) (remained on ballot)
Declined
[edit]- Cindy Axne, incumbent U.S. representative for Iowa's 3rd congressional district (running for reelection, endorsed Greenfield)[24]
- Chet Culver, former governor of Iowa[25]
- Deirdre DeJear, nominee for Secretary of State of Iowa in 2018[26]
- Abby Finkenauer, incumbent U.S. representative for Iowa's 1st congressional district (running for reelection, endorsed Greenfield)[27][28]
- Amber Gustafson, candidate for the Iowa Senate in 2018 (endorsed Greenfield)[29]
- Rita Hart, former state senator and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2018 (running in Iowa's 2nd congressional district)[6][30][31]
- Rob Hogg, state senator[6][30]
- Liz Mathis, state senator[32]
- Rob Sand, Iowa State Auditor[6][33]
- J.D. Scholten, nominee for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2018 (running in Iowa's 4th congressional district)[34]
- Tom Vilsack, former governor of Iowa and former U.S. Secretary of Agriculture[35]
- Stacey Walker, Linn County supervisor (endorsed Graham)[36][37]
- Steve Warnstadt, former state senator and intelligence officer in the Iowa Army National Guard[6][30]
Debates
[edit]Host
network |
Date | Link(s) | Participants | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Theresa
Greenfield |
Michael
T. Franken |
Kimberly
Graham |
Eddie
Mauro | |||
Iowa PBS | May 18, 2020 | [38] | Present | Present | Present | Present |
Endorsements
[edit]- Federal officials
- Chuck Hagel, former U.S. Secretary of Defense (2013–2015) and U.S. Senator from Nebraska (1997–2009)[39] (Republican)
- Individuals
- Paula Jean Swearengin, Democratic nominee in 2020 West Virginia U.S. Senate race[40]
- Organizations
- Association of Professional Flight Attendants[40]
- Brand New Congress[41]
- Sunrise Movement Cedar Rapids Chapter[42]
- Sunrise Movement Dubuque Chapter[40]
- Sunrise Movement University of Iowa Chapter[40]
- Federal officials
- Sherrod Brown, U.S. senator from Ohio[43]
- Abby Finkenauer, U.S. representative (IA-01)[28]
- Gabby Giffords, former U.S. representative (AZ-08) (2007–2012)[44]
- Dave Loebsack, U.S. representative (IA-02)[45]
- Barack Obama, former U.S. President[46]
- State officials
- Marti Anderson, state representative[44]
- Tony Bisignano, state senator[44]
- Joseph Bolkcom, state senator[44]
- Robert Dvorsky, former state senator (1995–2019) and state representative (1987–1995)[44]
- Ro Foege, former state representative (1996–2008)[44]
- John Forbes, state representative[44]
- Bruce Hunter, state representative[44]
- Pam Jochum, state senator and former Iowa Senate president (2013–2017)[44]
- Bob Kressig, state representative[44]
- Monica Kurth, state representative[44]
- Jim Lykam, state senator[44]
- Mary Mascher, state representative[44]
- Jo Oldson, state representative[44]
- Sally Pederson, former lieutenant governor (1997–2007)[44]
- Janet Petersen, state senator and Senate Minority Leader[44]
- Amanda Ragan, state senator[44]
- Joe Riding, former state representative (2013–2015)[44]
- Sharon Steckman, state representative[44]
- Kristin Sunde, state representative[44]
- Zach Wahls, state senator[44]
- Cindy Winckler, state representative[44]
- Individuals
- Jon Bauman, Social Security Works PAC president and former Sha Na Na member (1970–1983)[44]
- Andy McGuire, former Iowa Democratic Party chair[44]
- Christie Vilsack, former Iowa First Lady (1997–2007)[44]
- Unions
- American Federation of Government Employees[44]
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 61[44]
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers Local 89, 67, 111, 577, 21[44]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Iowa State Conference[44]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 238[44]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 431[44]
- Organizations
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Michael Franken |
Kimberly Graham |
Theresa Greenfield |
Eddie Mauro |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 5–6, 2020 | 849 (V) | – | 12% | 4% | 43% | 4% | 36% |
Emerson College | October 13–16, 2019 | 317 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 74% |
Results
[edit]![](http://178.128.105.246/cars-http-upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/0a/Iowa_Senate_Democratic_primary%2C_2020.svg/220px-Iowa_Senate_Democratic_primary%2C_2020.svg.png)
Results by county:
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Theresa Greenfield | 132,001 | 47.71% | |
Democratic | Michael T. Franken | 68,851 | 24.88% | |
Democratic | Kimberly Graham | 41,554 | 15.02% | |
Democratic | Eddie Mauro | 30,400 | 10.99% | |
Democratic | Cal Woods (withdrawn) | 3,372 | 1.21% | |
Democratic | Write-In | 514 | 0.19% | |
Total votes | 276,692 | 100.00% |
Other candidates
[edit]![](http://178.128.105.246/cars-http-upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f7/Rick_Stewart_portrait_%28cropped%29.jpg/130px-Rick_Stewart_portrait_%28cropped%29.jpg)
Libertarian Party
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Rick Stewart, Libertarian nominee for the 2018 Iowa Secretary of Agriculture election and independent candidate for the 2014 United States Senate election in Iowa[56]
Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Suzanne Herzog, economist and former ER nurse[57]
General election
[edit]Major media described the campaign as one of the most likely to decide control of the Senate after the 2020 election.[58][59] Polls conducted after the primary showed a close contest between Greenfield and Ernst, with neither candidate leading by more than 4 points.[60][61][62][63]
Through June 2020, Greenfield had raised $11.5 million, compared to $14.6 million for Ernst but by September, Greenfield had pulled ahead, raising $40.0 million compared to $21.6 million for Ernst.[64][65][66] The race was expected to be the most expensive in the state's history,[67] and the second most expensive Senate race in the United States, after the 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina, where Cal Cunningham challenged Thom Tillis.[68]
Debate
[edit]Host | Date & time | Link(s) | Participants | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Joni Ernst (R) | Theresa Greenfield (D) | |||
Iowa Press Debates | September 28, 2020 | [69] | Present | Present |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[70] | Tossup | October 29, 2020 |
Inside Elections[71] | Tossup | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[72] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[73] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[74] | Tossup | October 30, 2020 |
RCP[75] | Tossup | October 23, 2020 |
DDHQ[76] | Tossup | November 3, 2020 |
538[77] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Economist[78] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Endorsements
[edit]- Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families[79]
- Huck PAC[80]
- Maggie's List[9]
- Federal officials
- Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States, 2020 Democratic nominee for president
- Sherrod Brown, U.S. senator from Ohio[43]
- Abby Finkenauer, U.S. representative (IA-01)[28]
- Gabby Giffords, former U.S. representative (AZ-08)[44]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. senator from New York[81]
- Dave Loebsack, U.S. representative (IA-02)[45]
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States[82]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts[83]
- State and local officials
- Marti Anderson, state representative[44]
- Tony Bisignano, state senator[44]
- Joseph Bolkcom, state senator[44]
- Robert Dvorsky, former state senator[44]
- Ro Foege, former state representative[44]
- John Forbes, state representative[44]
- Bruce Hunter, state representative[44]
- Pam Jochum, state senator and former Iowa Senate president (2013–2017) and state representative (1993–2009)[44]
- Bob Kressig, state representative[44]
- Monica Kurth, state representative[44]
- Jim Lykam, state senator[44]
- Mary Mascher, state representative[44]
- Jo Oldson, state representative[44]
- Sally Pederson, former lieutenant governor of Iowa[44]
- Janet Petersen, state senator and Senate Minority Leader[44]
- Amanda Ragan, state senator[44]
- Joe Riding, former state representative[44]
- Sharon Steckman, state representative[44]
- Kristin Sunde, state representative[44]
- Zach Wahls, state senator[44]
- Cindy Winckler, state representative[44]
- Individuals
- Jon Bauman, Social Security Works PAC president and former Sha Na Na member[44]
- Andy McGuire, former Iowa Democratic Party chair[44]
- Christie Vilsack, former Iowa First Lady (1999–2007)[44]
- Unions
- American Federation of Government Employees[44]
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 61[44]
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers Local 89, 67, 111, 577, 21[44]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Iowa State Conference[44]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 238[44]
- National Education Association[84]
- United Auto Workers[85]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 431[44]
- Newspapers
- Cedar Rapids Gazette[86]
- Des Moines Register[87]
- Dubuque Telegraph Herald[88]
- Iowa City Press-Citizen[89]
- Quad City Times[90]
- Organizations
- Brady Campaign[47]
- Center for Biological Diversity[91]
- Climate Hawks Vote[92]
- Council for a Livable World[93]
- Democracy for America[94]
- DSCC[48]
- EMILY's List[49]
- End Citizens United[50]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[95]
- Feminist Majority PAC[51]
- Giffords[52]
- J Street PAC[96]
- League of Conservation Voters[53]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[54]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[97]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[98]
- Population Connection[55]
Polling
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Aggregate polling
[edit]Theresa Greenfield vs. Joni Ernst | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Theresa Greenfield | Joni Ernst | Other/Undecided[b] | Margin |
Real Clear Politics | November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 45.8% | 47.2% | 7.0% | Ernst +1.4 |
270 to Win | November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.6% |
47.0% |
6.4% | Ernst +0.4 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joni Ernst (R) |
Theresa Greenfield (D) |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 1–2, 2020 | 871 (V) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Change Research | October 29 – November 1, 2020 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 48% | 4%[c] |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | October 29 – November 1, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 50% | 2%[d] |
Data for Progress | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 951 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 49% | 6%[e] |
Emerson College | October 29–31, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48%[f] | 51% | 2%[g] |
InsiderAdvantage (R) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[A] | October 30, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 45% | 4%[h] |
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | October 26–29, 2020 | 814 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 42% | 11%[i] |
Quinnipiac University | October 23–27, 2020 | 1,225 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 46% | 1%[j] |
RABA Research | October 21–24, 2020 | 693 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 51% | – |
Emerson College | October 19–21, 2020 | 435 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 51%[f] | 46% | 3%[k] |
RMG Research Archived October 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | October 15–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43%[l] | 46% | 10%[m] |
41%[n] | 48% | 10%[m] | ||||
45%[o] | 45% | 10%[m] | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | October 18–20, 2020 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 44% | 12%[p] |
Insider Advantage (R) Archived October 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[A] | October 18–19, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 48% | 8%[q] |
Monmouth University | October 15–19, 2020 | 501 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | 5%[r] |
501 (LV)[s] | 47% | 49% | – | |||
501 (LV)[t] | 45% | 51% | – | |||
Data for Progress (D) | October 8–11, 2020 | 822 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 47% | 10%[u] |
YouGov/CBS | October 6–9, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | 10%[v] |
Opinion Insight (R)[B] | October 5–8, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 47%[f] | 45% | 8%[w] |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | October 3–6, 2020 | 756 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 49% | 6%[x] |
Quinnipiac University | October 1–5, 2020 | 1,205 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 50% | 5%[j] |
Data for Progress (D) | September 23–28, 2020 | 743 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42%[l] | 44% | 14%[y] |
45%[z] | 46% | 9%[aa] | ||||
Hart Research Associates (D)[C] | September 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | – |
RABA Research | September 23–26, 2020 | 780 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 51% | – |
Monmouth University | September 18–22, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | 5%[ab] |
402 (LV)[s] | 46% | 49% | 5%[ac] | |||
402 (LV)[t] | 47% | 48% | 5%[ac] | |||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | September 16–22, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.99% | 40% | 42% | 19%[ad] |
Selzer/Des Moines Register | September 14–17, 2020 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 45% | 12%[ae] |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates[D] | August 30 – September 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | 5%[af] |
Opinion Insight (R)[B] | August 30 – September 2, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 49%[f] | 43% | 7%[ag] |
Public Policy Polling | August 13–14, 2020 | 729 (V) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 48% | 8%[ah] |
Monmouth University | July 30 – August 3, 2020 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | 6%[ai] |
401 (LV)[s] | 48% | 47% | 6%[ai] | |||
401 (LV)[t] | 48% | 47% | 5%[aj] | |||
Data for Progress | July 24 – August 2, 2020 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 45% | 11%[ak] |
RMG Research | July 27–30, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 40% | 24%[al] |
Spry Strategies (R)[E] | July 11–16, 2020 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 45% | 12%[am] |
GQR Research (D)[F] | June 23–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Selzer/Des Moines Register | June 7–10, 2020 | 674 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | June 6–8, 2020 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 48% | 6% |
Public Policy Polling (D) Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[G] | June 3–4, 2020 | 963 (V) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | April 30 – May 1, 2020 | 1,222 (V) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 42% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[F] | December 13–15, 2019 | 944 (V) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Emerson College | October 13–16, 2019 | 888 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 40% | 14% |
Lake Research Partners (D)[H] | April 24–29, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | – |
- with Eddie Mauro
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joni Ernst (R) |
Eddie Mauro (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RABA Research/Eddie Mauro[H] | May 7–9, 2020 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 42% | – |
Lake Research Partners (D)[H] | April 24–29, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 58%[l] | 33% | – |
49%[an] | 44% | – |
- with Joni Ernst and generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joni Ernst (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | April 29–30, 2019 | 780 (V) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 44% | – |
Public Policy Polling (D)[I] | June 30 – July 1, 2017 | 784 (V) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 41% | 12% |
- with Joni Ernst and Generic Opponent
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joni Ernst (R) |
Generic Opponent |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. | March 2–5, 2020 | 667 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 31% | 3%[ao] | 26%[ap] |
- with generic Republican and generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lake Research Partners (D)[H] | April 24–29, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 41% | – |
Results
[edit]![](http://178.128.105.246/cars-http-upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/ee/2020_United_States_Senate_election_in_Iowa_results_by_state_senate_district.svg/335px-2020_United_States_Senate_election_in_Iowa_results_by_state_senate_district.svg.png)
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Joni Ernst (incumbent) | 864,997 | 51.74% | −0.36% | |
Democratic | Theresa Greenfield | 754,859 | 45.15% | +1.39% | |
Libertarian | Rick Stewart | 36,961 | 2.21% | +1.48% | |
Independent | Suzanne Herzog | 13,800 | 0.83% | N/A | |
Write-in | 1,211 | 0.07% | -0.03% | ||
Total votes | 1,671,828 | 100.0% | |||
Republican hold |
By county
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By congressional district
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See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- Partisan clients
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Center for American Greatness, a pro-Trump organization.
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The American Action Forum, which is a 501 organization which usually supports Republican candidates.
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Human Rights Campaign, which has endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period.
- ^ Poll sponsored by AARP.
- ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the End Citizens United, which has only supported Democratic candidates who are against the landmark Citizens United Supreme Court ruling.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Emily's List, an organization that supports Democratic female candidates.
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by the Eddie Mauro campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Save My Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
- Voter samples
- ^ a b c d e f Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Stewart (L) with 2%; "Don't recall" and Undecided with 1%; Herzog (I) and would not vote with 0%
- ^ Stewart (L) and Undecided with 1%; Herzog (I) and "Someone else" with 0%
- ^ Herzog (I) with 3%; Stewart (L) with 2%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
- ^ a b c d With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Herzog (I) and Stewart (L) with 1%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ "Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" and "Undecided/do not remember" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ a b c Standard VI response
- ^ a b c "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
- ^ Results generated with high Republican turnout model
- ^ Herzog (I) and Stewart (L) with 2%; "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
- ^ Stewart (L) with 5%; Herzog (I) with 0%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ Herzog (I), "No one" and Stewart (L) with 1%; "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
- ^ a b c With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- ^ a b c With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- ^ Stewart (L) with 2%; Herzog (I) with 1%; "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 6%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 8%
- ^ Would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 4%
- ^ Stewart (L) with 2%; Herzog (I) with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ Herzog (I) and Stewart (L) with 1%; Undecided with 12%
- ^ If the only candidates were Ernst and Greenfield
- ^ Undecided with 9%
- ^ Stewart (L) with 1%; Herzog (I), "Other" and "No one" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ a b Stewart (L) with 1; Herzog (I) with 0%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ Herzog (I) and Stewart (L) with 2%; would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 14%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ Undecided with 8%
- ^ a b Stewart (L) with 2%; Herzog (I) with 1%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ Stewart (L) and Undecided with 2%; Herzog (I) with 1%
- ^ "No one" with 11%
- ^ Undecided with 24%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 6%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ Response after pollster addresses respondents with talking points about Ernst and Mauro
- ^ Would not vote with 3%
- ^ "Would consider voting for someone else" with 20%; "unsure" with 6%
References
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- ^ "United States Senate election in Iowa, 2020 (General Election)".
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- ^ Axelrod, Tal (December 8, 2018). "Iowa's Ernst will run for reelection in 2020". TheHill. Retrieved December 30, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e Gunzburger, Ron. "Politics1 – Online Guide to Iowa Politics". politics1.com. Retrieved December 31, 2018.
- ^ Tope, Mallory (October 31, 2019). "Candidates gear up campaigns for Iowa U.S. Senate race". Iowa State Daily. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
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- ^ Panetta, Grace. "Theresa Greenfield wins the Democratic primary for US Senate in Iowa". Business Insider. Retrieved August 24, 2020.
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- ^ Rivers, Amie (March 2, 2020). "U.S. Senate candidate Cal Woods looking to take on 'climate crisis' if elected". The Courier.
- ^ "Meet Cal". Cal for Iowa. Archived from the original on April 10, 2020. Retrieved April 10, 2020.
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- ^ "2020 Senate At-A-Glance" (PDF). Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 9, 2019.
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- ^ Bowman, Bridget (August 21, 2019). "House freshmen try to keep it local as presidential race steals the spotlight". Roll Call. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
- ^ a b c Meyer, Elizabeth (September 24, 2019). "Finkenauer Endorses Greenfield In Effort To Unseat Ernst". Iowa Starting Line.
- ^ "Endorsement Alert!". us7.campaign-archive.com. Retrieved August 30, 2019.
- ^ a b c "Who will run against Joni Ernst in 2020?". Iowa Starting Line. November 12, 2018. Retrieved November 12, 2018.
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And former state Sen. Rita Hart, the 2018 Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor, is a potential candidate, according to multiple Iowa Democrats, but she has not discussed a campaign publicly.
- ^ Weig, Nick (February 26, 2019). "Sen. Liz Mathis meets with Democrats in D.C. to talk about 2020 Senate race". CBS2. Retrieved February 27, 2019.
- ^ Rynard, Pat (February 25, 2019). "Who's Gearing Up To Challenge Joni Ernst?". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved February 25, 2019.
- ^ Judd, Donald (August 5, 2019). "Iowa native JD Scholten announces second bid to unseat GOP Rep. Steve King". CNN. Retrieved August 5, 2019.
- ^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (February 22, 2019). "Former Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack will not run for the U.S. Senate against Sen. Joni Ernst in 2020". Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 22, 2019.
- ^ "Stacey Walker won't seek U.S. Senate nomination". The Gazette. August 12, 2019. Retrieved August 12, 2019.
- ^ Lynch, James Q. "Linn County Supervisor Stacey Walker endorses Kimberly Graham for Senate". The Gazette. Retrieved October 30, 2019.
- ^ "Iowa Press Debates: U.S. Senate Democratic Primary". www.youtube.com.
- ^ "The Public Pulse: Davis essay rang true; Hagel supports Franken; Trump is the real threat". Omaha.com. May 28, 2020.
- ^ a b c d "Endorsements". Kimberly Graham for U.S. Senate. Retrieved April 2, 2020.
- ^ "Kimberly Graham". Brand New Congress. October 23, 2019. Archived from the original on October 29, 2019. Retrieved October 29, 2019.
- ^ Murray, Isabella (December 5, 2019). "Iowa Climate Strikes Will Draw National, State Political Leaders". Iowa Starting Line.
- ^ a b "IA-Sen: Sen. Sherrod Brown (D. OH) Helps Theresa Greenfield (D) Get Ready To Defeat Joni Ernst (R)". Daily KOS. December 16, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj "Endorsements". greenfieldforiowa.com. Archived from the original on May 7, 2020. Retrieved May 9, 2020.
- ^ a b Opsahl, Robin (June 25, 2019). "Theresa Greenfield nets endorsement from Rep. Dave Loebsack in Democratic Senate primary". Des Moines Register.
- ^ Obama, Barack (August 3, 2020). "First Wave of 2020 Endorsements". medium.com. Retrieved September 7, 2020.
- ^ a b Brown, Kris (January 8, 2020). "Brady Endorses Theresa Greenfield for U.S. Senate: Iowa Needs A Common-sense Champion". Brady.
- ^ a b "DSCC Endorses Theresa Greenfield in Iowa Senate Campaign". DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. June 6, 2019.
- ^ a b "EMILY's List Endorses Theresa Greenfield for U.S. Senate in Iowa". Emily's List. June 6, 2019.
- ^ a b Muller, Tiffany (July 10, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Theresa Greenfield; Names Ernst to "Big Money 20"". End Citizens United.
- ^ a b "2020 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
- ^ a b "In Key Senate Races, Giffords Backs Challengers in Iowa and North Carolina Taking on NRA-Backed Incumbents". Giffords. April 10, 2020.
- ^ a b Burke, Holly (October 2, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Theresa Greenfield for U.S. Senate". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved November 26, 2019.
- ^ a b "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Theresa Greenfield for U.S. Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. November 7, 2019.
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Further reading
[edit]- Amber Phillips (October 9, 2020), "The Senate seats most likely to flip parties in November", Washingtonpost.com
External links
[edit]- "League of Women Voters of Iowa". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- National Institute on Money in Politics; Campaign Finance Institute, "Iowa 2019 & 2020 Elections", OpenSecrets
- Official campaign websites
- Joni Ernst (R) for Senate
- Theresa Greenfield (D) for Senate Archived June 9, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- Suzanne Herzog (I) for Senate Archived December 16, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- Rick Stewart (L) for Senate